Louisville vs Minnesota Free Pick

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by Sportsbook Advisor - 3/20/2019 6:12 PM Share
Round one of the NCAA tournament starts Thursday afternoon. Minnesota takes on the Louisville Cardinals at 12:10 pm EST. The spread is currently Louisville -5 and the total is 136 points.

Louisville is 20-13 straight up this season and 17-15-1 ATS. They allow 67 PPG and score about 73. Their last outing, they lost to UNC in the ACC Tournament 83-70. They did not cover the 7 point spread. Louisville has lost 4 of its last five games.

Minnesota is 21-13 straight up and 17-17 ATS. The average just over 70 PPG on offense and allow just over 69 PPG. Their last outing they were stomped by Michigan 76-49. They have won three out of their last 5 games.

These teams are similar in many ways. They are slightly above mediocre teams that have flashes of brilliance and have some real talent on board. Guard Amir Coffey scored over 16 PPG for the Golden Gophers. Louisville's top scorer is F Jordan Nwora. He averages over 17 PPG.

Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
Minnesota when playing against a team with a winning record: 13-8.
Minnesota as a neutral court underdog or pick: 3-1.
Louisville is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.

We like Minnesota plus the points but we also like them for the moneyline play. They will look for atonement after the decimating loss in their last outing. They will play inspired basketball. Louisville is a team that has blown it all year long. They have a team that gives up late and this is when Minnesota will push for the win. Take the Gophers plus the points and straight up at +190. See top sportsbooks online to wager this game.

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