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Late Night Total

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by Mike Neri Sports - 7/27/2010 6:04 PM
Sport: MLB
Game: Late Night Total
Date/Time: 7/27/2010 10:15PM EST
Pick: OVER 6 at Giants
Reason:

LATE NIGHT Best Bet (Dodgers at Padres) backed by mind boggling two-year database angle "14-1"!!! Check out the GUARANTEED section at a "value price"

"1 UNIT" LATE NIGHT PERCENTAGE TOTAL (Marlins at Giants OVER 6 in a 10:15 eastern start---------Johnson versus Cain): The oddsmakers had no choice but to "low ball" this total since major league ERA leader (1.61) Josh Johnson is on the mound. Late this evening Johnson will attempt to become the first pitcher since Randy "Big Unit" Johnson way back in 1999 to reel off 14 consecutive starts of 6+ innings while allowing "2 or less" earned runs each time. Another reason why tonight's total is so low is because San Francisco's Matt Cain (2.63 ERA) has been solid in 9 different HOME starts. Cain is coming off a 9-strikeout performance and his career ERA against Florida (2.83) is excellent.

Despite the low posted spot the Giants offense believe it or not is ABOVE the league average in runs scored per game marking the first time since 2004 that they have pulled that off. Rookie Buster Posey during his current 19-game hitting streak (.461 batting average) has simply been unconscious at the dish. The Giants get back the services of former All-Star Pablo Sandoval this evening after missing two games due to personal reasons. In the past nine games Sandoval is above the .300 mark in batting average driving in 7 runners during that span. My database research indicates that Florida as a team is an amazing 19-3 OVER the total this season when off consecutive victories. But the big news regards tonight's pitchers as Matt Cain is 3-0 OVER lifetime against the Marlins where he has received more than 5 runs per game of support. In the past two years Josh Johnson is 7-0 OVER/ROAD when off consecutive triumphs where his teammates have put up an average of 8 runs per contest


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