I''m playing the Under in the Twins/Mariners game on Monday Night. Seattle is the home of the best pitcher's park in the American League statistically, and will likely see a true pitcher's duel tonight between Francisco Liriano and Doug Fister. Liriano has a sharp 3.17 ERA this year with a 1.29 WHIP. And, that's with FOUR games against the strong offenses of the Yankees and Red Sox! If you look at his stats vs. everyone else, the numbers drop to 2.83 and 1.26. He'll be facing a "somebody else" tonight that has one of the worst offenses in baseball! Fister is having great success in his debut season, posting a 2.03 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP thus far for the Mariners.

His home park has helped him build confidence. His numbers in Seattle are 1.80 and 0.76. Both offenses had to travel for the game without a day of rest, with Minnesota playing Sunday Night halfway across the country. Either pitcher could throw a shutout in these circumstances, and we're likely to see a very low scoring game. Oddsmakers have had big trouble putting the right totals on pitchers duels this season. The value has been with the Under much of the time. The Under in the Twins/Mariners game is the play. Thanks! GL! Scott.