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Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles, 5/18/2010 7:05PM EST

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by Mike Neri Sports - 5/18/2010 2:07 PM
Sport: MLB
Game: Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles
Date/Time: 5/18/2010 7:05PM EST
Pick: Kansas City Royals
Reason:

The Royals win the opener of this series last night to make it four wins in the last five games and that momentum is big as they looking to carry this run forward with their ace on the hill. That win snapped a five-game road losing streak where Kansas City sits at 8-13 on the season. That is not the ideal record to be backing here but Baltimore is not much better at home as it is also five games under .500 with a 7-12 record. Last night was the third straight loss for the Orioles where they have scored a total of six runs and I don't see that improving here. Despite another solid start to the season, Zack Greinke got his first win of the year in his last outing which was another quality performance, his fifth straight and six in eight trips to the mound this season. He has a 2.73 ERA and 1.12 WHIP on the season, the former being 11th best in the league. Run support has been the reason for the lack of wins but Kansas City is hitting the ball well once again and more importantly, scoring runs.

Greinke's overall numbers against the Orioles are not good but that came early on as last season he posted a 2.08 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in two starts against Baltimore. Kevin Millwood counters for the Orioles and he too has been solid but is not getting wins due to a lack of run support. The difference here is that Baltimore as mentioned is not scoring runs so there is no reason to think it turns around tonight. Millwood is coming off a rough outing against the Mariners and even though Baltimore pulled out the win, he remains winless at 0-4 on the season. The Royals are 6-2 in Greinke's last eight road starts against a team with a losing record while the Orioles are 17-35 in their last 52 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Also, Baltimore is just 13-38 in its last 51 games following a loss. 3* Kansas City Royals


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