Last night a Best Bet total (Nationals/Rockies Over) saw Washington plate FOURTEEN runs. For a second consecutive card a baseball Best Bet TOTAL this time triggered by a key PERSONNEL transaction covered in the analysis segment!!! Tonight''s GUARANTEED pick at a VALUE price tag

"1 UNIT" NATIONAL-TV BASEBALL SYSTEM (Brewers -115 at home versus Phillies in a 8:05 eastern start broadcast on the MLB Network-------Moyer versus Wolfe): It is interesting that Milwaukee would be cast as a favorite tonight considering that they just got swept in a home series where the offense in three games put only 7 runs on the scoreboard. One of the reasons for that offensive outage had to do with the elbow injury to slugger Ryan Braun who RETURNS to the starting lineup tonight. On paper the defending National League champions look like the play considering that ageless Jamie Moyer is coming off a TWO HIT shutout gem. On the other hand Milwaukee so far this season (4-11) has NOT had a home field advantage. But the Brewers actually have the edge in the bullpen right now as regular Philadelphia closer Brad Lidge is dealing with continued elbow issues while his backup Ryan Madson just underwent toe surgery and is on the shelf for a couple of months. Certainly Milwaukee's closer Trevor Hoffman is "fresh" as he has made only 2 appearances so far in the month of May. For those who may not remember tonight's Milwaukee starter Randy Wolfe actually started his major league career in Philadelphia and he is in "double revenge" tonight against that former organization. The Phillies certainly have a potent offense but one of their hotter sticks (catcher Carlos Ruiz) suffered a knee INJURY last time out and is questionable. Here is a 70-PERCENT SYSTEM (29-13 past five years in the National League) which plays ON offensive oriented teams like Milwaukee who average at least 4.8 runs per game, when off 3 consecutive contests where the pitchers allowed 8+ runs each time. That system supports Milwaukee and their pitcher Randy Wolf who in front of the HOME fans is on an incredible "19-4" roll in the month of MAY

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