Detroit had its five-game winning streak snapped last night in Minnesota but I think this is a very good spot to bounce back. The Twins have been extremely solid at home in their new Target Field, going 7-3 but tonight does not have them in a great situation. Dontrelle Willis gets the ball for the Tigers and he has gotten off to a great start. Through four starts, he has a 3.75 ERA with Detroit going 3-1 in those games. His WHIP of 1.54 is not very good but that was mainly due to the first two games where he posted a 1.91 WHIP. Over the last two starts, the ratio is a terrific 1.00.

His last outing came against the Twins and he shut them out for six innings and he will use that confidence going forward. Minnesota was without both Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau in that first game so that no doubt helped but Mauer is listed as doubtful again tonight. While his start has been great, the start for Nick Blackburn has been anything but. He has a 6.85 ERA and 1.73 WHIP through four starts and he has allowed five runs in each of his last three outings. He missed his last start due to an undisclosed family issue and left the team for a few days so how he comes back remains in question.

The Tigers fall into a solid partial contrarian situation as well. Play on teams after two straight games where they committed no errors going up against an opponent after three straight games where they had 12 or more hits. This situation is 48-22 (68.6 percent) over the last five seasons. The Twins are just 13-28 in their last 41 games against teams from the American League with an on base percentage of .345 or better while Detroit is 12-4 this season when its moneyline is between +125 and -125. 3* Detroit Tigers