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Free NCAAB Pick: Miami Oh at Bowling Green

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by YouWinNOW.com - 2/14/2010 12:53 PM
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Miami Ohio RedHawks at Bowling Green Falcons
Date/Time: 2/14/2010 2:00PM EST
Pick: Miami Ohio RedHawks
Reason:

Home and road records play a big part in college basketball as some teams are simply dominant on their home floor with others are horrible when travelling. Looking at these two teams shows opposing road and home records but they do not quite fit into the scenario mentioned above and that will be explained further down. I do not have problems taking a road team that is much better without the need to put down a lot of points and in this case, putting down nothing as this line is even across the board as of Sunday morning. Miami enters this game at 8-3 so a win will let it keep pace with Kent St. in the MAC East after the Golden Flashes had their eight-game winning streak halted yesterday.

A victory will also push it a half-game ahead of Akron who is next up on the schedule on Wednesday. The Falcons have now lost three of their last four games and are 12-11 overall and 5-6 in the MAC. The last loss was most frustrating as Western Michigan never led until the final five seconds of the game when it scored the winning basket. Bowling Green is in last place in the MAC East and at 5-6, it can be argued that isn't too bad as the East is much stronger than the West. The problem is the Falcons went 3-3 against the West while Miami went 5-1. Miami may be 2-10 on the road this season but this needs to be broken down a little bit. The RedHawks started the season 0-10 away from home so they currently are riding a two-game winning streak on the road which is always big for confidence reasons. One of MAC road losses came in overtime while some non-conference road losses included Kentucky by two points, Cincinnati by four points, Xavier by three points and Colorado by two points. Basically, Miami hung tough by losing by only 2.75 ppg in some hostile en

vironments against four teams that are a combined 50-5 at home. I'd call that road tested. Now the RedHawks travel to Bowling Green who is 7-3 at home but besides a win over St. Louis, and even that is stretching it, there are no quality home wins on the schedule. The Falcons are 3-2 at home in the MAC but all three came against teams with losing records in the conference including 0-11 Toledo and 4-8 Northern Illinois, the two teams with the most defeats in conference action. In comparison, while Miami lost by only three points at Xavier, the Falcons lost by 44 points at Xavier and while I normally do not compare common opponents, that is simply too big not to take note of. Miami is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games after scoring 55 points or fewer in its last game and it is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games in the second half of the season against teams averaging 64 ppg or fewer. 3* (863) Miami Ohio RedHawks


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