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Free NCAA Basketball Pick, Kansas at Colorado

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by YouWinNOW.com - 2/3/2010 3:54 PM
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Kansas at Colorado
Date/Time: 2/3/2010 9:00PM EST
Pick: Colorado Buffaloes
Reason:

Kansas is coming off a huge win at rival Kansas St. on Saturday in overtime and something it is still recovering from that victory that put the Jayhawks back on top of the national rankings. They are playing some of their best basketball right now but after the Missouri win last week prior to Kansas St., Kansas is in a prime spot for a letdown. Add to that, the Jayhawks have won 13 straight in the series against Colorado, including a 12-0 mark under coach Bill Self and we can assume that the gas pedal will not be all the way down tonight. This along with a game at home against Nebraska precedes the showdown everyone has been waiting for, a game at Texas on Monday night. Colorado lost yet another tough game on the road Saturday, this time at Iowa St. by a single point. That dropped the Buffaloes to 0-7 on the road this season and they have now lost 33 straight Big XII road games but the last two have been by a combined five points so they are close to finally breaking that horrible run. They return home tonight where they are 10-1 on the season but this is definitely the toughest test of the season thus fare. As a comparison, Colorado played host to Kansas St. a couple weeks back and lost to the Wildcats by six points as six-point underdogs and now it is getting over twice as much here. Even last season when it went 1-15 in the Big XII, Colorado never received this many points on its home floor and you have to go all the way back to almost two years ago to the day on February 2, 2008 when it got this many points. It was also against the Jayhawks when the Buffaloes were able to cover the 17.5-point line. Before shooting just 34.4 percent in its loss at Iowa St., Colorado had shot at least 42.9 percent in all its Big XII games, including 50 percent or better three times. The Buffaloes are shooting 46.4 percent in conference action which is third best in the Big XII. Colorado is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games against teams that are shooting 48 percent or better from the floor and it is 6-0 ATS in its last six home games against teams allowing 64 ppg or fewer in the second half of the season. Kansas has won 19 of 20 games this season and it is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after putting together wins in 18 or more of its last 20 games. The Buffaloes meanwhile are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog of 13 points or more and this season they are a perfect 3-0 as a double-digit underdog. 3* Colorado Buffaloes


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