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Free College Football Pick BCS Championship Game - Bama vs. Texas

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by Freepicks.org - 1/7/2010 1:49 PM

Roll Tide or Hook ‘em Horns?

Number 1 and Number 2 battle for the crystal football tonight in the 2009 College Football Season Finale. Currently Alabama is listed at -4.5 with the total at 46. Alabama made a statement by rolling over Florida on their way to this game. Texas, on the other hand, snuck in with a last second field goal and win over the Nebraska Cornhuskers in the Big 12 Championship game. Either way, a win is a win, and both teams are undefeated. With TCU and Cincinnati going down in their bowl games, Boise State is the only other team with no losses. Once again, the Broncos did everything they could to prove that they belong in the big game, but couldn't manage to get past the BCS. "What ifs" are irrelevant, and tonight it's all about the Longhorns and Crimson Tide. Can Texas repeat the Rose Bowl magic? They return to Pasadena, where Vince Young and crew won a thrilling BCS Title against the USC Trojans in 2006.

Both teams playing tonight have seen their share of success in recent years, and throughout their storied histories. Texas is 128-26 under Mack Brown in his 12 years. They have 4 overall national titles, 32 conference titles, and 2 Heisman Trophy winners.

Alabama is 32-8 in Nick Saban's 3 years. They have claimed 12 National Championships and 26 conference titles. Mark Ingram's performance this year gave the Crimson Tide their first Heisman Trophy winner. Ingram, who will likely give Texas some trouble this evening, ran for 15 touchdowns and averaged 6.2 yards per carry this year.

Tonight's game will go to best defensive performance. Both teams bring top-notch squads. Texas leads the country in rushing defense and ranks number 3 in total defense. On paper, at least, Alabama's defense looks even better. Their clever, often tricky, defense leads the nation in scoring defense and is 2nd in total defense. The Longhorns look to have the better offense with 40.7 points per game, but only managed to score 13 points against the number 2 Nebraska defense. Both offensive squads will need to be flawless and on-point to win this one. Check the score tomorrow, and you'll probably find that the losing team was victim to 1 or more major turnovers.

Trends to consider:
The Longhorns have an 8-3 postseason record under Mack Brown.
Alabama is 1-1 under Nick Saban in bowl games.
Texas is 13-0 SU and 5-7-1 ATS this season.
Alabama is 13-0 SU and 8-5 ATS this season.

Pick: Expect to be entertained in a close one. Texas should come within 4 points of Alabama. Take Texas +4.5 to beat the spread, but we advise against picking the winner. This one might be decided by 3 or less.


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