I think this line is simply too high fro a divisional matchup that is one of the bigger rivalries in football. The Redskins are coming off a much needed with last week at home against the Broncos and that momentum should carry right into this game. While the season has been closed shut by many, a win here and Washington is just two games back in the NFC East. Granted there are three teams in front but there is always the possibility and this team should rise to the occasion once again. Despite losing six of nine games this season, Washington has either outgained or been even statistically with its opponent in seven of those games including seven of the last eight. The two games that the Redskins were on the wrong end of the stat chart they were outgained by only 79 and 50 yards. The Cowboys are coming off that loss in Green Bay that has people scratching their heads once again. I was on the Packers so it was not a surprise to me and now the thinking is that it will be a big bounce back for the Cowboys. I don't think it is that easy. Dallas struggled on offense and it was criticized for not running the ball much so we are going to see the Cowboys take it to the ground more.

The Redskins know this and we may see more interior stunts and zone run blitzes from the Redskins to counter. Tony Romo had a pretty bad game last week and he has been known to bounce back but as inconsistent as he is, we could easily see another blowup. The Redskins will be without Clinton Portis once again due to a concussion but Ladell Betts filled in very well last week and that came against a solid Broncos defense. He rushed for 114 yards on 26 carries (4.4 ypc) and overall Washington ran for 174 yards against Denver. Quarterback Jason Campbell takes a lot of heat but he has put together three straight solid performances with passer ratings of 91.6, 92.2 and 100.3. In three career starts against the Cowboys he has an 87.6 passer rating and the Redskins have won two of those three meetings, including last year in Dallas, 26-24 when they were underdogs of right around the same number. Washington will need to force turnovers as in Dallas' three losses, it has nine turnovers while in the six wins, it has only five.

That loss to the Packers last week by Dallas sets Washington up in a very good angle. Play against divisional home favorites of 10.5 or more points that are coming off a loss as a favorite. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1983. It is very simple yet effective and has stood the course as it goes back 26 years. Washington is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games against teams that average 260 or more passing ypg in the second half of the season. The Cowboys are only 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite of 10.5 or more points while under underdog has been a solid proposition in this series, covering 20 of the last 27 meetings. 3* Washington Redskins