Dolphins at Panthers Thursday Night

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by Freepicks.org - 11/18/2009 9:59 AM
The Miami Dolphins travel to Bank of America stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers on Thursday Night Football. The line is currently Carolina -3 and the over under is sitting stable at 43 points. The Dolphins are coming off a close win over the hapless Tampa Bay Bucs in Miami. The Panthers just beat Atlanta last week. Both teams are 4-5 straight up and also 4-5 ATS (Against the Spread).

Both teams are suffering with injuries coming into the game. Miami''s star running back Ronnie Brown is out and backup Ricky Williams will be the starter. Steve Smith, Carolina''s star receiver is listed as doubtful. In a season that is only 16 games long, every win counts. Getting back to .500 would give one of these teams an outside shot at making the playoffs. The stats are interesting:


Team records:
Miami: 4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS
Carolina: 4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS

Miami:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 5-5

Carolina:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on grass are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami''s last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami''s last 5 games on the road
Miami is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Carolina''s last 20 games at home
Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

They are interesting because they are so even across the board. But if we have to pick this one, we will take Miami getting the points. Miami +3


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