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Free Pick MLB 6/13/2009, Houston at Arizona

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by YouWinNOW.com - 6/13/2009 12:56 PM
Sport: MLB
Game: Houston at Arizona
Date/Time: 6/13/2009 8:10PM EST
Pick: OVER
Reason:

SU: 4-5 (-0.7 rpg) average line: +120 / -132 on / against: +$25 / -$75 ROI: +2.8% / -6.2%
O/U: 7-2-0 (2.1 rpg) average total: 8.8 over / under: +$485 / -$585 ROI: +43.7% / -52.9%


Runs Hits Errors Walks Strike Outs Grounders Fly Balls Team left on base
Team: 5.1 9.8 0.67 4.3 7.7 9.6 9.2 8.7
Opp: 5.8 9.3 1.44 3.6 7.6 10.9 9.1 7.1

Recap Date Site Team Starter Opp Starter Score SUm W/L OUm O/U Hits Errors Line Total Innings
view 08-13-2004 home Nationals Rauch - R Astros Clemens - R 6-5 1 W 3.0 O 11-7 0-0 170 8.0 10+
view 06-04-2006 home Dodgers Sele - R Phillies Myers - R 4-6 -2 L 1.0 O 9-10 1-2 120 9.0 9
view 08-16-2006 home Nationals Traber - L Braves Smoltz - R 9-6 3 W 6.5 O 12-9 1-1 150 8.5 9
view 08-22-2006 home Giants Cain - R Diamondbacks Webb - R 7-6 1 W 5.0 O 9-13 0-2 100 8.0 9
view 05-17-2007 home Phillies Garcia - R Brewers Sheets - R 2-3 -1 L -3.5 U 6-9 0-1 115 8.5 9
view 07-28-2007 home Cardinals Reyes - R Brewers Capuano - L 7-6 1 W 3.5 O 12-8 1-1 105 9.5 9
view 06-01-2008 home Mariners Batista - R Tigers Bonderman - R 5-7 -2 L 3.0 O 15-10 0-1 130 9.0 9
view 07-12-2008 home Blue Jays Litsch - R Yankees Rasner - R 4-9 -5 L 3.5 O 7-11 2-2 105 9.5 9
view 04-19-2009 home Astros Paulino - R Reds Volquez - R 2-4 -2 L -3.0 U 7-7 1-3 110 9.0 9
06-13-2009 home Diamondbacks Garland - R Astros Oswalt - R 100 9.0

The free play for Saturday is over the total in the Houston-Arizona game at 8:10 eastern based on the system above that has cashed 7 of the last 9 times and averages nearly 11 runs per game.What we want to do is play the over when a team is a home dog off a home favored win and scored 5+ runs,provided the road team scored 2 runs or less and had 2 or less hits in the game.Arizona is a home dog and fits this solid system tonight.Other trends include,Arizona has gone over 5 of 7 times as a home dog this year,Pitcher J.Garland has gone over in 4 of his 5 home starts this year and in the series 5 of the last 7 in Arizona have gone over the total.On Saturday night I have an Interleague total of the month backed with another incredible angle.Plus a solid overall card,including off shore steam plays which are 4-1 this week.For the free play though I will back the over 9 runs tonight in the Houston-Arizona game.BOL GC-


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