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MLB Free Pick, LAA Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays, 6/9/2009
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by Mike Neri Sports - 6/9/2009 2:00 PM
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Sport:
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MLB |
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Game:
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LAA Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays |
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Date/Time:
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6/9/2009 9:40PM EST |
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Pick:
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LAA Angels |
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Reason:
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This is a great price for the better team as well as the better pitcher. Jered Weaver has been exceptional of late and that has been the case most of the season. He has allowed three runs or fewer in nine of his 11 starts and over his last six starts, he has allowed only one run in five of those, posting a remarkable 1.64 ERA over that span. It is no surprise that his ERA on the season is 2.26 which is third best in the American League. He now faces a Rays team that he has never lost to, going 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in three starts, all resulting in Angels wins. Tampa Bay is coming off a series loss in New York and a series against the Yankees is always hard to recover from. The Rays have turned things around at home but it has come against some lackluster competition. They send James Shields to the mound and he is definitely having a very solid season but there have been inconsistencies and the wins are not coming too often. He has a 3.40 ERA on the year but Tampa Bay is only 5-7 in his 12 starts. Only half of his last six starts have been quality outings and he has been allowing a ton of baserunners. Over those last six games, he has a WHIP of 1.37 which is far from potent. He has mowed down the Angels throughout his career at home but this has been a different year and things could easily go the other way. The Angels have won seven of their last eight road games against teams with a losing record while Tampa Bay is on a 0-5 run after allowing five or more runs in its last game. The Angels also fall into a great underdog situation. Play against American League favorites of -150 or less that are averaging 5.2 rpg or more but facing a pitcher who has a WHIP of 1.10 or less over his last 10 starts. This situation is 30-11 (73.2%) over the last five years and being an underdog situation, it is even stronger based on the moneyline winners. 3* Los Angeles Angels Fargo went 1-1 Monday cashing +115 Detroit and dropping +159 Arizona but he is still a RED HOT 11-4 (73.3%) the last 6 days in MLB! On the year, he is showing a profit of +91.62 Units and extends it on Tuesday with his A.L. NON-DIVISION GAME OF THE MONTH! This TOP PLAY Winner is backed by a SOLID 91-46 (66.4%) Power Situation! The run goes on as we cash in again! |
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