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Free Baseball Pick Wednesday, Indians at Kansas City

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by Mike Neri Sports - 5/20/2009 7:27 AM
Sport: MLB
Game: Cleveland Indians at Kansas City Royals
Date/Time: 5/20/2009 8:10PM EST
Pick: Kansas City Royals
Reason: The Royals started the season on absolute fire and they have definitely cooled off quite a bit following a miserable 0-5 roadtrip. After losing the first game against Baltimore in its four-game series against the Orioles, Kansas City won two of the final three games before winning this series opener last night to improve to 14-8 at home on the season. The Royals trail the Tigers by just a game in the American League Central and this is a rarity to be so close to first place a quarter of the way into the season. The run should go on. Prior to last night's loss, the Indians won their opener in Tampa Bay but lost their final three games to the Rays as the pitching remains abysmal on the road. Cleveland has a 6.80 ERA on the road this season which is the worst in baseball. The loss last night is one that can stick to a team for sometime as the Royals scored four runs in the bottom of the ninth inning to pull out the win. That knocked the Cleveland Bullpen ERA to 5.84 on the season including a dismal 7.32 in road games. Gil Meche gets the call for Kansas City tonight and he has hit a rough patch. He has gone four straight games without a quality start after starting the season by tossing three quality outings in his first four. He lost his first outing to the Indians earlier this season but it was a quality performance and hew has now allowed three runs or fewer in five of his last six starts against Cleveland, posting a 3.29 ERA in those games. He faces off against Fausto Carmona who I backed in his last start and it paid off in an 11-7 Indians victory. He was not strong however as he allowed four runs in 5.1 innings, the sixth time in eight starts this season he has allowed at least four runs. He has a 7.07 ERA on the road and after posting five straight quality outings in his first five career starts against the Royals, he has an 8.26 ERA in his last three against Kansas City. The Indians are 8-22 in their last 30 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600 while the Royals are 16-6 in their last 22 home games against a team with a road winning percentage less than .400. 3* Kansas City Royals

Fargo's MLB premiums went 2-1 Tuesday, as both TOP PLAYS were winners on the +123 Royals and the +140 Angels! His recent MLB run is 8-2 (80%) with all plays being UNDERDOGS and he is releasing Three Underdog Reports tonight! This includes his **9** DHD as he looks to extend his PERFECT 6-0 (100%) mark on 9* Reports YTD! SWEEP! We keep the RED HOT RUN rolling on!


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