We have said that Cleveland and Lebron will sweep this Hawks team. And I still believe this to be true. However, I love any team at home in the playoffs getting 9 big ones. When we made our preliminary line we came up with Cleveland -6.5. This is what we feel the line should be. When we saw nine point spread, we just had to jump on Atlanta and hope for the best. This will be their best effort yet we feel. And even though they may not win, we feel they should keep it a little tighter than the last few games.
Another factor is that public is all over the Cavs. 90% of bets taken thus far are on Cleveland laying the 9. We are firm believers that the public is usually wrong on big games. You can see what the public is betting by clicking here.
Finally, when we wager, we try not to let emotions and "the last game played" be too much of a factor. The educated bet here is taking a playoff team, with a winning record, at home getting a bunch of points. It''s obvious that Cleveland is the superior team but we see a formula here that usually works and we are playing the Hawks at home. Good luck.
Here are some stats from the regular season to consider:
