NCAA Free Pick Towson at Drexel 1/4/12

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by VegasEdge.com - 1/4/2012 6:08 PM
Towson is the #314 team in adjusted tempo, and Drexel is #311. So obviously, these are two of the slowest teams in the country, and neither have great offenses. Towson is the #343 team in points per game, at 52.3, and #324 overall in FG%. They've only put more than 60 points on the board once this season, and have had over 1/3 of their games in the 40s.
We feel kind of bad for Towson, because everyone knew they were going to be awful, but somehow they got stuck with the #36 hardest overall non-conference schedule.

Wewent back and looked at all the games that Towson has played, and was pretty surprised at what we found. Their schedule has been loaded with fast teams. Take a look. These are the teams, followed by their adjusted tempos (out of a possible 345 teams) from Kenpom:

Kansas: 39
Michigan: 287
Belmont: 101
Greensboro: 17
Oregon St.: 16
Massachusetts: 7
Mason: 150
La Salle: 69
Baltimore County: 95
Coppin State: 144
Manhattan: 75
Vermont: 322
Virginia: 339
Northeastern: 201

And every single one of those games stayed under the total for this Drexel game. Also, in every single one of those games, Towson failed to score over 50 points. We couldn't believe none of the opponents were able to score over 65. And Michigan has the #38 offense in the country, and UVA has #92. (Vermont and Northeastern have offenses similar to Drexel.)

Drexel prides themselves on their defense, and has been struggling offensively lately. They are #291 in points per game, are #236 in FG%, #178 in adjusted efficiency, but only #217 at effective FG%. They don't shoot the long ball, and are 8th in the country at preventing it (not that it matters, because Towson doesn't shoot 3s anyway).

Towson's defense is horrible, yet somehow, they've held 7 of their 14 opponents to 66 or less points. And remember, that's on the #44 overall schedule and #36 non-conference schedule, with offensive powerhouses such as Kansas, Michigan, Belmont, Oregon St., UVA....

Also, this is Towson's 3rd game in 6 days, and Drexel's 4th game in 8 days. So hopefully they're both gassed and will play at their usual crawl pace.
College Hoops Free Pick - Under 116.5


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